economypromЭкономика промышленности / Russian Journal of Industrial EconomicsRussian Journal of Industrial Economics2072-16332413-662XMISIS10.17073/2072-1633-2025-3-1463economyprom-1463Research ArticleЭкономика знанийKnowledge economyЦифровые двойники как ключевой элемент энергетики будущего: связь с теорией длинных волн КондратьеваDigital twins as a key element of the energy of the future: the connection with Kondratiev’s theory of long waveshttps://orcid.org/0009-0008-9121-6283ГвоздяныйС. Е.GvozdyanyyS. E.

Семен Евгеньевич Гвоздяный – аспирант,

119049, Москва, Ленинский просп., д. 4, стр. 1;

607060, Нижегородская обл., Выкса, ул. бр. Баташевых, д. 45. 

Semyon E. Gvozdyanyy – Postgraduate Student,

4-1, Leninskiy Ave., Moscow 119049;

45, Brat’yev Batashevykh Str., Vyksa, Nizhny Novgorod Region 607060.

gvozduc@yandex.ruМясковА. В.MyaskovA. V.

Александр Викторович Мясков – д-р экон. наук, профессор, директор Горного института,

119049, Москва, Ленинский просп., д. 4, стр. 1.

Alexander V. Myaskov – Dr.Sci. (Econ.), Professor, Director of the Mining Institute,

4-1 Leninskiy Ave., Moscow 119049.

rumyaskov@misis.ruНациональный исследовательский технологический университет «МИСИС»; АО «Выксунский металлургический завод»РоссияNational University of Science and Technology “MISIS”; JSC “Vyksa Metallurgical Plant”Russian FederationНациональный исследовательский технологический университет «МИСИС»РоссияNational University of Science and Technology “MISIS”Russian Federation202521092025183346357Copyright © Гвоздяный С.Е., Мясков А.В., 20252025Гвоздяный С.Е., Мясков А.В.Gvozdyanyy S.E., Myaskov A.V.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://ecoprom.misis.ru/jour/article/view/1463

В статье рассмотрена роль технологии цифровых двойников как ключевого инструмента цифровой трансформации энергетики. В экономической науке широкое признание получила теория длинных волн Н.Д. Кондратьева, согласно которой развитие мировой экономики носит циклический характер с чередованием длительных периодов подъема и спада (~50–60 лет). В работе проведен системный анализ научной литературы и практических кейсов применения цифровых двойников в энергетике, сопоставленных с фазами длинных экономических циклов. Особое внимание сфокусировано на том, каким образом цифровые двойники могут обеспечить интеграцию возобновляемых источников энергии, повысить надежность энергосистем и ускорить энергетический переход. Новизна исследования состоит не только в рассмотрении цифровых двойников как средства оптимизации отдельных процессов, но и как одного из базовых инноваций формирующегося шестого технологического уклада, ориентированного на устойчивое развитие. Обоснован тезис, согласно которому цифровые двойники выступают связующим звеном между цифровой и «зеленой» трансформациями, формируя новую энергетическую парадигму. Сделан вывод о высоком потенциале технологии в контексте грядущей шестой длинной волны Кондратьева.

The article examines the role of digital twin technology as a key instrument of the digital transformation of the energy sector. In economic science, N.D. Kondratiev’s long wave theory, which postulates that the development of the world economy follows cyclical patterns of prolonged periods of growth and decline (~50–60 years), has gained wide recognition. The study applies a systematic analysis of scientific literature and practical cases of digital twin implementation in the energy sector, correlating these findings with the phases of long economic cycles. Special attention is given to the ways in which digital twins can support the integration of renewable energy sources, enhance the reliability of power systems, and accelerate the energy transition. The novelty of the research lies in considering digital twins not only as a tool for optimizing individual processes but also as one of the basic innovations of the emerging sixth technological paradigm focused on sustainable development. The article argues that digital twins act as a bridge between digital and “green” transformations, contributing to the formation of a new energy paradigm. It concludes that this technology has significant potential in the context of the forthcoming sixth Kondratiev long wave.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.