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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">economyprom</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Экономика промышленности / Russian Journal of Industrial Economics</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Russian Journal of Industrial Economics</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2072-1633</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2413-662X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>MISIS</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.17073/2072-1633-2021-1-42-49</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">economyprom-871</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Экономика природопользования</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>Environmental economics</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Перспективы использования данных отложенных ордеров для прогнозирования нефтяных цен в России</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Prospects for using data from pending orders for forecasting oil prices in Russia</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Палеев</surname><given-names>Д. Л.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Paleev</surname><given-names>D. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Палеев Денис Леонидович – кандидат технических наук, доцент кафедры Национальной экономики, Экономический факультет</p><p>117198, Москва, ул. Миклухо-Маклая, д. 6</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Denis L. Paleev – Ph.D (Eng.), Associate Professor, Department of National Economy, Faculty of Economics</p><p>6 Miklukho-Maklaya Str., Moscow 117198</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">paleev-dl@rudn.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4638-5623</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Черняев</surname><given-names>М. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Chernyaev</surname><given-names>M. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Черняев Максим Васильевич – кандидат экономических наук, PhD (Economics and National Economy Management), доцент кафедры Национальной экономики, советник декана по ВЭД, заместитель заведующего кафедрой Национальной экономики, Экономический факультет, Российский университет дружбы народов</p><p>117198, Москва, ул. Миклухо-Маклая, д. 6</p><p>SPIN-код 1500-2438</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Maksim V. Chernyaev – Ph.D (Econ.), PhD (Economics and National Economy Management), Associate Professor, Department of National Economy, Dean’s Advisor on the Foreign Economic Activity, Deputy Head of Department of National Economy, RUDN University</p><p>6 Miklukho-Maklaya Str., Moscow 117198</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">chernyaev-mv@rudn.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1437-0008</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Соловьева</surname><given-names>Ю. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Solovyova</surname><given-names>Yu. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Соловьева Юлиана Владимировна – кандидат экономических наук, доцент кафедры Национальной экономики, Экономический факультет</p><p>117198, Москва, ул. Миклухо-Маклая, д. 6</p><p>SPIN-код 2393-4075</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Yuliana V. Solovyova – Ph.D (Econ.), Associate Professor, Department of National Economy, Faculty of Economy</p><p>6 Miklukho-Maklaya Str., Moscow 117198</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">solovyeva-yuv@rudn.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Российский университет дружбы народов</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University)</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2021</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>02</day><month>04</month><year>2021</year></pub-date><volume>14</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>42</fpage><lpage>49</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Палеев Д.Л., Черняев М.В., Соловьева Ю.В., 2021</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2021</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Палеев Д.Л., Черняев М.В., Соловьева Ю.В.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Paleev D.V., Chernyaev M.V., Solovyova Y.V.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://ecoprom.misis.ru/jour/article/view/871">https://ecoprom.misis.ru/jour/article/view/871</self-uri><abstract><p>Современное ценообразование нефти обусловлено не столько себестоимость и законом спроса и предложения, сколько биржевой конъюнктурой. На цену оказывает влияние огромное количество объективных и субъективных факторов, умение анализировать которые лежит в основе современной биржевой торговли. Таким образом, ключом анализу нефтяного рынка к краткосрочной перспективе являются биржевые сводки. В статье рассматриваются современные тенденции в формировании и влиянии ценообразующих факторов нефтяного рынка. Показываются особенности применения ордеров как инструментов ценообразования. Приводятся российские реалии по отложенным ордерам на рынке нефти. Анализируются специфика и перспективы применения отложенных ордеров для анализа нефтяного рынка. Это позволяет предсказывать изменение конъюнктуры значительно быстрее традиционных статистических методов анализа сделок. Авторы приходят к выводу, что применение такого инструмента, как отложенный ордер, позволит, во-первых, лучше понимать рыночную конъюнктуру по основной российской нефти марки Urals, во-вторых, сделать рынок более прогнозируемым и, возможно, управляемым со стороны государства, что смягчит последствия от резкого изменения цен на нефть и последующие изменения в стоимости энергоносителей и топлива, сделает экономику устойчивее к кризисам. Помимо этого, повышение точности прогнозов повысит доходы российских трейдеров от сделок. Научной основой публикации являются труды зарубежных исследователей в области биржевой торговли и анализа данных, а также материалы разработчиков программного обеспечения для анализа биржевых данных.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Modern oil-pricing is more dependent on the stock market conditions than on the cost price or demand and supply laws. The price is infl uenced by a great number of objective and subjective factors. The ability to analyze these factors is the basis of the modern stock market trade. Thus, stock quotes are the key to analyzing oil market in the short-term perspective. The authors study current trends informing pricing factors of the oil market and their influence. They point out the peculiarities of using orders as pricing tools, adduce Russian experience on pending orders at the oil market, analyze the specificity and prospects of using pending orders for analyzing oil market. So, changes of the conditions can be predicted much faster than by using traditional statistic methods of analyzing transactions. The authors conclude that using such a tool as a pending order will lead to better understanding of the market conditions for the main Russian oil brand (Urals). It will make the market more predictable and controllable by the government which will mitigate the consequences of drastic changes in oil prices and the changes of the cost of energy and fuel arising from that making the economy more resistant to crises. More accurate forecasts will increase the Russian traders’ income from the transactions. The authors use international researches devoted to stock market trade and data analysis, and information from software developers who design programs for analyzing stock market data.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>цена нефти</kwd><kwd>прогнозирование</kwd><kwd>отложенные ордера</kwd><kwd>лимитные ордера</kwd><kwd>«биржевой стакан»</kwd><kwd>нефтяные фьючерсы</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>oil price</kwd><kwd>forecasting</kwd><kwd>pending orders</kwd><kwd>limit orders</kwd><kwd>Depth of Market</kwd><kwd>oil futures</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group><funding-statement xml:lang="ru">Статья подготовлена в рамках инициативной научно-исследовательской работы № 061606-0-000 по теме «Совершенствование механизмов контроля формирования цены на нефть марок Brent и Urals как условие укрепления энергетической безопасности России», выполняемой на базе кафедры Национальной экономики Экономического факультета РУДН</funding-statement><funding-statement xml:lang="en">The article was written as part of proactive research work No. 061606-0- 000 on the topic “Improving mechanisms of controlling oil pricing for Brent and Urals brands as the condition for reinforcement of energy security of Russia”. 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