economypromЭкономика промышленности / Russian Journal of Industrial EconomicsRussian Journal of Industrial Economics2072-16332413-662XMISIS10.17073/2072-1633-2021-1-76-88economyprom-874Research ArticleЭкономика природопользованияEnvironmental economicsСценарии развития нового миропорядка и переход к углеродно-нейтральной безотходной экономике-2050Development scenarios of new world order and transition to carbon-neutral waste-free economics-2050https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5705-0880ШипковаО. Т.ShipkovaO. T.

Шипкова Ольга Тарасовна – кандидат экономических наук, доцент, доцент кафедры экономики

119049, Москва, Ленинский просп., д. 4

SPIN-код автора: 1156-3266

Olga T. Shipkova – Ph.D (Econ.), Associate Professor, Romentz College of Economics and Industrial Management

4 Leninskiy Ave., Moscow 119049

SPIN-код автора: 1156-3266

 

shipkova.ot@misis.ruВдовенкоЗ. В.VdovenkoZ. V.

Вдовенко Зинаида Владимировна – доктор экономических наук, профессор, доцент кафедры экономики

119049, Москва, Ленинский просп., д. 4

Zinaida V. Vdovenko – Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Professor, Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Romentz College of Economics and Industrial Management

4 Leninskiy Ave., Moscow 119049

vzv27@yandex.ruНациональный исследовательский технологический университет «МИСиС»РоссияNational University of Science and Technology MISISRussian FederationНациональный исследовательский технологический университет «МИСиС»РоссияNational University of Science and Technology “MISIS”Russian Federation2021020420211417688Copyright © Шипкова О.Т., Вдовенко З.В., 20212021Шипкова О.Т., Вдовенко З.В.Shipkova O.T., Vdovenko Z.V.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://ecoprom.misis.ru/jour/article/view/874

В статье проведен анализ моделей стратегических изменений в развитых и развивающихся странах мира до 2050 года. Особое внимание уделено основным глобальным трендам современности и прогнозу изменений в химической промышленности. Рассмотрена прогнозная модель стратегических решений Европейского союза, основанная на стратегическом долгосрочном видении процветания современной конкурентоспособной экономики. Проанализированы сценарии перехода к новым безотходным и эффективным технологиям, предлагаемые Европой. На основе проведенного исследования разрабатываемых моделей, сценариев, стратегий, программ изменений в различных странах мира и перехода к углеродно-нейтральной безотходной экономике, c учетом научно-технологического развития, выявлены основные ориентиры развития химической промышленности России. Рассмотрены прогнозные сценарии развития российской химической промышленности.

The authors analyze the patterns of strategic transformations in developed and developing countries by 2050. They paid special attention to basic global present-day trends and forecasting the changes in chemical industry. The article examines the predictive model of strategic solutions of the European Union based on strategic long-term vision of the modern competitive economy’s prosperity. The authors present the analysis of scenarios of transition to waste-free and effective technologies suggested by Europe. They take into consideration scientifi c and technological development and determine major reference points for development of chemical industry in Russia by means of examination of the developed models, scenarios, strategies, programs of transformation in different countries of the world and transition to carbon-neutral waste-free economics. The authors consider predictive scenarios of development of Russia’s chemical industry.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.