Electronic industry of the Russian Federation: trends, problems and strategizing its development

The study presents the analysis of the current state of the Russian electronic industry conducted on the basis of data from Rosstat, SPARK-Interfax system, Ministry of Industry and Trade of Russia, Ministry of Digital Development, Communications and Mass Media of the Russian Federation, Ministry of Economic Development of Russia, reports and materials from Electronics Developers and Manufacturers Association, and other data and sources of information. The authors have analyzed the key indicators of the electronic industry of the Russian Federation including its structure, development dynamics, the place of the Russian electronic industry in the global industry, territorial organization by region of Russia, and identified the key enterprises of the industry. Special attention is paid to identifying the problems of development of electronic industry differentiated in two main directions: market problems and issues of the state regulation of the industry. Market problems include high level of import dependence of the Russian electronics industry, impossibility to develop industrial technological basis of electronic industry in the conditions of open competition with world manufacturers, high level of dependence of the electronic industry on the domestic market capacity. The regulation issues include the quality and effectiveness of executive authorities that control development of the Russian electronic industry as well as low level of thoroughness and validity of strategizing the development of the Russian electronic industry. On the basis of the analysis conducted, the authors provide management recommendations aimed at improving the economic situation in the Russian electronic industry, increasing the degree of controllability and manageability of its development by the executive authorities. The key recommendations involve the necessity for finding new approaches to development of domestic electronics, developing a practice-oriented industry strategy agreed with all the interested parties that are involved in creating specialized managerial structures aimed at adapting military electronics developments to the needs of the civilian sector. The results of the study can be used by government authorities, experts and other organizations in development and implementation of industrial policy at the federal and regional levels.

1. Abdikeev N.M. Import substitution in high-tech industries under external sanctions. Management Sciences. 2022;12(3):53–69. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.26794/2304-022X-2022-12-3-53-69

2. Квинт В.Л. Концепция стратегирования. В 2-х т. СПб.: СЗИУ РАНХиГС; 2019. Т. 1. 132 с.

3. Kamal Y. The Silicon age: Trends in semiconductor devices industry. Journal of Engineering Science and Technology Review. 2022;15(1):110–115. https://doi.org/10.25103/jestr.151.14

4. Zemtsov S.P. Will robots be able to replace people? Assessment of automation risks in Russian regions. Innovations. 2018;4(234):49–55.

5. Glaziev S.Yu. National economy structures in the global economic development. Economics and Ma thematical Methods. 2016;(2(52)):3–29. (In Russ.)

6. Balatsky E.V. Global challenges of the fourth industrial revolution. Terra Economicus. 2019;17(2):6–22. (In Russ.). https://10.23683/2073-6606-2019-17-2-6-22

7. Dosi G. Technological paradigms and technological trajectories: A suggested interpretation of the determinants and directions of technical change. Research Policy. 1982;11(3):147–162. https://doi.org/10.1016/0048-7333(82)90016-6

8. Nelson R. Factors affecting the power of technological paradigms. Industrial and Corporate Change. 2008;17(3):485–497. https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/dtn010

9. Babkin A.V., Shkarupeta E.V. Industry 6.0: essence, trends and strategic opportunities for Russia. Industrial Economics. 2024;17(4):353–377. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.17073/2072-1633-2024-4-1369

10. Glazyev S.Yu. Global transformations from the perspective of technological and economic world order change. AlterEconomics. 2022;19(1):93–115. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.31063/AlterEconomics/2022.19-1.6

11. Kablov E.N. New generation materials and digital technologies for their processing. Bulletin of the Russian Academy of Sciences. 2020;90(4):331–334. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.31857/S0869587320040052

12. von Tunzelmann N., Malerba F., Nightingale P. Metcalfe S. Technological paradigms: past, pre sent and future. Industrial and Corporate Change. 2008;17(3):467–484. https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/dtn012

13. Trachuk A.V., Linder N.V. Innovations and productivity of the Russian industrial companies. Innova tsii = Innovations. 2017;(4(222)):53–65. (In Russ.)

14. Ketels C., Protsiv S. Cluster presence and economic performance: a new look based on European data. Regional Studies. 2021;55(2):208–220. https://doi.org/10.1080/00343404.2020.1792435

15. Yiu L.M., Lam K.S., Yeung C.L., Cheng C.E. Enhancing the financial returns of R&D investments through operations management. Production and Operations Management. 2020;(7):1658–1678.

16. Ahlstrom D. innovation and growth: how business Contributes to Society. Academy of Management Perspectives. 2010;24(3):11–24. https://doi.org/10.5465/amp.24.3.11

17. Varshavsky A.E. Problems of the development of advanced technologies: roboticsl. MIR (Modernization. Innovations. Development). 2017;8(4(s)):682–697. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.18184/2079-4665.2017.8.4.682-697

18. Zemtsov S.P., Barinova V.A., Pankratov A.A., Kutsenko E.S. Potential high-tech clusters in Russian regions: from current policy to new growth points. Foresight and STI Governance. 2016;10(3):34–52. In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.17323/1995-459X.2016.3.34.52

19. Kvint V.L., Novikova I.V., Alimuradov M.K., Sasaev N.I. Strategizing the national economy during a period of burgeoning technological sovereignty. Administrative Consulting. 2022;(9):57–67. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.22394/1726-1139-2022-9-57-67

20. Cavin R.K., Lugli P., Zhirnov V.V. Science and engineering beyond Moore’s law. Proceedings of the IEEE. 2012;100(Special Centennial Issue):1720–1749. https://doi.org/10.1109/JPROC.2012.2190155

21. Feng L., Zhang X., Zhou K. Current problems in China’s manufacturing and countermeasures for industry 4.0. EURASIP Journal on Wireless Communications and Networking. 2018;(1):90.

22. Zimovets A.V., Klimachev T.D. Digital transformation of production at Russian enterprises under import substitution policy. Russian Journal of Innovation Economics. 2022;12(3):1409–1426. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.18334/vinec.12.3.116297

23. Antonets E. On the necessity of microelectronics production priority development in Russia. Voprosy ekonomiki. 2005;(9):117–128. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2005-9-117-128

24. Shpak V.V. Development strategy for the electronic industry of the Russian Federation and its financial support. Economics of Science. 2021;7(3):195–204. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.22394/2410-132X- 2021-7-3-195-204

25. Larin S.N., Sokolov N.A., Khrustalev O.E. Development of the Russian electronic industry: Searching for competitive advantages under sanctions. Economy and Business: Theory and Practice. 2022;7(89):104–111. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.24412/2411-0450-2022-7-104-111

26. Zelensky A.A., Gribkov A.A. Prospects for mee ting Russia’s needs in electronic engineering products. Products. Society: Politics, Economics, Law. 2024;(3):103–113. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.24158/pep.2024.3.11

27. Kvint V.L. Theoretical basis and methodology of strategizing of the private and public sectors of the Kuzbass region as a medial subsystem of the national economy. Industrial Economics. 2020;3(13):290–299. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.17073/2072-1633-2020-3-290-299

28. Kvint V.L., Novikova I.V., Alimuradov M.K. Alignment of global and national interest with regio nal strategic priorities. Economics and Management. 2021;27(11):900–909. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.35854/1998-1627-2021-11-900-909

29. Zurin M.V. Trends and prospects of home machine tool industry development. Vestnik of the Plekhanov Russian University of Economics. 2018;(3):105–113. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.21686/2413-2829-2018-3-105-113

30. Pankratov A.A., Musaev R.A. Strategic approaches to IT sector development in the Russian Federation. Strategizing: Theory and Practice. 2025;1(15):38–55. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.21603/2782-2435-2025-5-1-38-55

31. Musaev R.A., Pankratov A.A., Astapov K.L. Cluster approach to strategic planning on a regional level in the Russian Federation. Administrative Consulting. 2020;(11):99–118. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.22394/1726-1139-2020-11-99-118

32. Pankratov A.A., Musaev R.A., Badina S.V. Assessment of the potential of Russian it industry clusterization, 2005–2018. InterCarto. InterGIS. 2021;27(1):44–59. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.35595/2414-9179-2021-1-27-44-59

33. Shpak V.V., Brykin A.V. On the issue of forming an organizational and managerial model for russian electronic industry. RISK: Resursy, Informatsiya, Snabzhenie, Konkurentsiya 2020;(3):108–114. (In Russ.)

34. Pankratov A.A., Badina S.V. Analysis of transformation of the territorial and industry structure of revenue of the IT sector of the Russian Federation in 2019–2022. InterCarto. InterGIS. 2024;30(1):37–53. https://doi.org/10.35595/2414-9179-2024-1-30-37-53

35. Mikhailov A.A., Fedolov V.I. Features of automation of HR processes in Russian companies. Academy of Knowledge. 2020;(2(37)):194–199. (In Russ.)

36. Zelensky A.A., Morozkin M.S., Gribkov A.A. Review of the semiconductor industry in the world and in Russia: production and equipment. News of higher educational institutions. Electronics. 2021;26(6):468–480. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.24151/1561-5405-2021-26-6-468-480

37. Pankratov A.A., Musaev R.A., Badina S.V. Approaches to identifying, measuring and predicting cluster effects. Studies on Russian Economic Development. 2021;32(3):312–317. https://doi.org/10.47711/0868-6351-186-126-134

38. Pankratov A.A. Analysis of the current state of the Russian IT industry: key issues and trends. InterCarto. InterGIS. 2023;29(1):201–216. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.35595/2414-9179-2023-1-29-201-216

39. Moore G.E. The microprocessor: Engine of the technology revolution. Communications of the ACM. 1997;40(2):112–114. https://doi.org/10.1145/253671.253746

40. Pankratov A.A., Kuvshinova E.A., Galstyan L.S. Quantitative assessment of the socioeconomic potential of advanced development territories of regions of the far eastern federal district. Studies on Russian Economic Development. 2021;32(4):407–414. https://doi.org/10.1134/S1075700721040110

41. Keyes R.W. The impact of Moore’s law. Solid State Circuits Newsletter. 2005;11(3):25–27. https://doi.org/10.1109/N-SSC.2006.4785857

42. Zelensky A.A., Gribkov A.A. Methodology for the macroeconomic sectoral design of the Russian microelectronics industry. Regional Economics and Management: Electronic Scientific Journal. 2023;(4(76)):7607. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.24412/1999-2645-2023-476-7

43. Kazakova N.A., Kogdenko V.G. Monitoring the sustainable development of the electronic industry. Finance Theory and Practice. 2023;27(6):185–198. https://doi.org/10.26794/2587-5671-2023-27-6-185-198

44. Shatskaya I.V. Strategic Directions for the deve lopment of the electronic industry in Russia. Administrative Consulting. 2024;(4):63–72. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.22394/1726-1139-2024-4-63-72

45. Pankratov A.A. Approaches to developing ratings of Russian regions by level of IT industry development. InterCarto. InterGIS. 2024;30(1):193–207. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.35595/2414-9179-2024-1-30-193-207